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UGANDA: Analysing the Kayhura tape recordings

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CHANGE OF GUARDS Published on Monday, 21 April 2014
The whole saga reveals the following aspects: –
1.    Under Museveni, all the
intelligence gathering is directed towards spying on democratic political
opponents other than enemies of the state of Uganda. The IGP, Kayihura was
gathering information about the activities of those intending to democratically
contest for the Presidency against Museveni. The IGP’s role confirms what a
loyal cadre of the NRA is supposed to do.
2.   His actions further confirm
how Museveni runs parallel intelligence organs – one of them now under. The
traditional civil intelligence outfit (ISO) has lost Museveni’s confidence. Its
evidence that the Mbabazi network has infiltrated the organisation yet
according to Museveni it is supposed to be a structure of his political party
with total loyalty to him only. The recently much publicised statement
pertaining to spy agency running out of funds alludes to the fact that those
funds have been deliberately withheld so as to incapacitate it. The arrest and
trial in a court martial of one of its senior directors (Maj. Muramagi) over
treasonous allegations is a further confirmation. Another senior officer (Capt.
Katabazi)’s association with the Mbabazis is under investigation and very soon
we may see action taken against him and the entire security detail of Prime
Minister Mbabazi.
3.   Information peddling has
always been big business under Museveni. The boom is during such times when
there is a perceived thread against Museveni’s life presidency project. The
system always puts in place huge amounts of cash for such projects. Actually,
much as the information peddlers (who are civilians in most cases) reap big,
its the officers managing such projects who take the lions share through
concocted intelligence briefs and inflated threat assessment. By voluntarily
coming to Kayihura, Ahamad Kasirivu was motivated by financial gain. He had
done a lot of dirty work for the system in the past but had not only
financially benefited but had been abandoned as usual. That is why when the
opportunity resurfaced through being approached by the Mbabazi’s, he saw an
opportunity to reap big from camps. Both camps are using cash as the motivating
factor. While the Museveni camp drawing from the national coffers and the
project managers are diverting the lions share personal use, the Mbabazi camp
is using personal resources – as to how they accumulated those resources is
another question. By the 2016 general elections time, the uncontrolled flow of
cash will have created trouble for the economy.
4.   Out of ignorance many
Ugandans are amused at the way Kayihura is issuing millions of shillings to
Kasirivu! They do not know that for decades now this is how the Museveni system
has been managing security and political undertakings. Cash is issued out like
beans. As Kasirivu took out the one million shillings, another three million
was pocketed by Kayihura – disguised as meant for “another group”.
This “another group” could be Kayihura himself, his family member,
his workers, friends etc. By ordering the officer to “give another three
million for another group” at the same time Kasirivu was getting the one
million, Kayihura is trying to hoodwink the junior officer who is taking
custody of the cash into believing that his boss is drawing the three million
shillings for official duties. It has been a practise by many intelligence
managers to even bring to the office such relatives, workers, private
contractors to the office. After being ushered into the boss’s office and at
the end of a private discussion, the boss calls the cashier and instructs him
to give such a visitor any amount of cash with instructions that he should sign
for such money under guise of being intelligence agents/informers. The cashier
and the boss’s close aides will not question the authenticity of such a
transaction. Some intelligent aides and cashiers have also been benefiting a
lot by also manipulating financial records. The same applies to other resources
like fuel, clearance of imported goods, secondment for employment in both government
and the private sector. The practice is even done by Museveni in State House
whereby public resources are issued to friends and political patrons under the
guise of carrying out special assignments. Usually the source of such funds is
State House special funds and could even be in foreign currency. Moreover, such
expenditures are not open to public scrutiny. That is how intelligence managers
(past and present) have managed to accumulate amazing personal wealth. The
Mbabazis are aware of such fleecing and diversion of such funds by Museveni’s
camp managers and that is why they are not worried of the financial might from
their adversaries. Even Museveni is aware that his managers fleece him of
almost 70% of the resources that he commits to his dirty politicking. That is
why sometimes, he personally delivers the cash to the beneficiaries through the
issuing of brown envelopes and sacs of cash.
4.   By the time Kayihura met Kasirivu
the former had already known the latter’s story through Sebina Sekitoleko and
other sources. Kasirivu must have been convinced by Sebina Sekitoleko to report
to Kayihura. That is why Kayihura met Kasirivu in the presence of Sebina. That’s
why Kayihura organised the tape recording in order to get something concrete to
deliver to Mzei (Museveni) and does less talking during the proceedings. Before
meeting Kayihura Sebina and Kasirivu must have discussed at length what to give
Kayihura and what not to give him and at what stage so as to optimally gain
financially. The two concocted the inclusion of Gen Aronda and Brig. James
Mugira in the hope that their information would gain more weight. Like majority
Ugandans, the two did not know the two army officers are eternally attached to
Museveni. In the same vein they went ahead to involve the top church leaders.
Like all information peddlers, Kasirivu was reluctant to give details of all
the information he had unless Kayihura came out very clear on what benefits
were due to him. Its clear Kasirivu aimed at having an audience with Museveni
from whom he hoped to gain more financially including resurrecting his earlier
unfulfilled pledges. That is why when Kayihura gives him one million and
promises to arrange an audience with the president, Kasirivu opens up further
by promising to avail more information. Also, when Kasirivu rises personal
security concerns and Kayihura offers police protection, the former rejects it!
The truth is that Kasirivu wanted to be armed with the much-loved pistol so
that he can use it to either rob or intimidate the population. Like many other
information peddlers under the NRA, the practice has been to arm them. When
Salongo Ssenkayi was a DMI mole in Mengo, he was armed with a pistol.
5.   Kasirivu laments about how
he has accomplished a lot of tasks for the NRA but was not paid. He reveals how
him together with others under the command of Lt Musinguzi and Grace
Turyagumanawe had masterminded the Kayunga fiasco when the Kabaka was blocked
from visiting Kayunga resulting into bloody riots. This confirms that its the likes
of Kasirivu and company who have been the goons behind the disruption of peace
during peaceful demonstrations, burning of Kasubi Tombs and other fires in the
city, Kiboko Squad and all the chaos aimed at tarnishing the image of the
opposition.  By admitting that they
helped certain election contestants to gain victory, Kayihura also confirming
the partisan involvement of security forces in election rigging.
6.   What the Mbabazis have been
doing is a lawful act of mobilising support for a democratic presidential bid.
The only issue at hand is that they have been doing it secretly and Mbabazi is
reluctant to declare his Presidential bid for fear of grave consequences from
Museveni. Under Museveni a mere intent to vie for the top office or becoming popular
amounts to high treason. That’s is why retired Captain Ruhinda Maguru is under incarceration.
In a civilised society, there is nothing wrong with such and it would be the
work of the NRM secretariat to sort out that and not members of security forces.
However, since its the Secretary General who is harboring intentions, Museveni
is cornered. The Mbabazis have eaten into all the structures of Museveni’s
private company – the NRA. The Kasirivus don’t qualify to be called intelligence
agents or informants for there is neither an enemy of the state nor a crime
being committed. There is no justification for Kayihura the IGP to use public
resources in gathering information against those intending to contest against
Museveni. That is why the Police officers were able to take the said tape
recordings to the Mbabazis. To the nation such officers are patriotic but to
Museveni they are subversives.
For now, what Museveni can do is to drop Mbabazi from Cabinet, concoct
treasonous allegations against him and carry out a purge against all those
whose loyalty is questionable. At worst, Museveni can either amend the NRA
constitution to escape the delegates conference where the Mbabazis have laid a
deadly ambush or postpone the 2016 general elections. On their part, the Mbabazis
have been making calculations basing on the much craved for change by Ugandans
which the traditional opposition groups have failed to deliver. Mbabazi has mobilised
so much support within the NRM such that the main stream opposition can not
achieve much without involving him. Mbabazi’s differences with Museveni are
irreconcilable and no doubt further isolates the latter leaving him to only
bank on the Hima/Rwandese ticket in the NRA. Recently Museveni’s former head of
political intelligence, Charles Rwomushana suggested that Mbabazi should be
arrested and incarcerated – no wonder those are the views of Museveni’s
intelligence managers. You can imagine with such kind of baseless recommendation,
how much damage did Rwomushana do before he fell out with the system!!! No
wonder that is the kind of intelligence analysis that Museveni enjoys hearing
from his managers.
7.   It is Gen Robert Aronda as
Minister of Internal Affairs and Museveni’s closest confidant in the NRA who is
remotely controlling the actions of Gen Kayihura against perceived opposition
to Museveni’s life presidency project. As a master of intrigue having been
mentored by Museveni himself, Aronda unlike Kayihura operates from underground.
He pretends to be shy and humble but is a very dangerous substitute. Much as Kayihura’s
role in the saga has come to the public attention because of the leakage, there
are many more groups and individuals running the same project and the financial
cost is amazing. They all compete to attract the attention of Museveni. For
General Kayihura, he was let down by excitement since he lacked experience in
handling intelligence.

—— AUTO – GENERATED; Published (Halifax Canada Time AST) on: April 21, 2018 at 07:15PM

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