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WILL KAGAME FALL INTO MUSEVENI’S ‘NAIROBI PEACE TALKS’ TRAP?

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CHANGE OF GUARDS – Nairobi Peace Talks refers to an initiative by the then Kenya’s President, Daniel Arap Moi to mediate between Museveni’s then rebel NRA and the military government led by Gen. Tito Okello in 1985. Museveni’s NRA had been fighting the 2nd UPC government led by Milton Obote until July 1985 when Obote was overthrown by his own army, UNLA. The Okello government invited all the different groups that had been fighting the ousted UPC government and they joined hands. However. Museveni’s NRA refused to join thus causing a stalemate that called for the mediation of Kenya thus the Nairobi Peace Talks.

Museveni went to the Nairobi peace talks well knowing that he was in a vulnerable situation and was armed with only one weapon – the art of manipulation. While the NRA would publicly talk peace, in private it assured its fighters not to be bothered by the ongoing talks. Instead, recruitment and training was intensified. Some recruits would even come in from as far as the government controlled areas in Buganda and Busoga. There was a lull in the fighting during the Peace Talks as the NRA went into a further merry making. As a way of buying time, Museveni kept shifting goal posts in his demands during the talks. After almost four months of talks, the parties eventually signed the 50-page agreement on December 18, 1985.

Museveni accepted the post of deputy chairman of the ruling Military Council while his then ‘half brother’, Gen. Saleh was to get the crucial post of Defense Minister. The NRA was required to have its  rebels dismantle its interim administration in the western region. The  military observers from Kenya and Tanzania were also set to come into the country.  Around this time Libya’s Gaddafi mediated secret talks between Museveni and Gen. Moses Ali for the latter to withdraw his troops from Katonga Bridge for the NRA to cross. One month after the signing of the peace talks, Museveni’s NRA treacherously marched on Kampala and overthrew the military government on January 25, 1986 and the rest is history. 

The military government fell into the trap that opened the way for the decades of turmoil in the northern and north eastern regions. The current military dictatorship can also be traced to that manipulation of such an important historical national issue. All this manoeuvring took place when the current President of Rwanda, Paul Kagame was the Brigade Intelligence Officer under Gen. Muntu’s Directorate of Military Intelligence (DMI) in Museveni’s NRA.

Since the Nairobi Peace Talks, no successful peace talks has Museveni ever been engaged in. What he calls peaceful resolution of conflicts has been a mere mastery of the art of manipulation of his opponents.  The end result has not been peace but a state of animosity between the victors and the vanquished.  It is against this background that LRA’s Joseph Kony totally rejected any form of peace talks with Museveni.

Recently, Museveni and Kagame met under the mediation of the Angolan President in the capital Luanda. Follow-up meetings in their respective capitals have not yielded the desired results. The latest is that Museveni recently dispatched his envoy, Ambassador, Adonia Ayebare to Kigali with a special message to Kagame. In the meantime, Museveni is more preoccupied with mobilization of human resources through intensified mass recruitment and training of armed forces in line with his earlier resolution;
       “Those who want to destabilize our country do not know our capacity. Once we mobilize, you can’t survive.”

One issue that is clear is that Museveni will not abandon his 20 years old scheme to cause regime change in Kigali more especially that now it is at an advanced stage. His current seemingly diplomatic efforts are designed to buy time as he dupes Kigali.  Moreover, in the early 2000s, the mediation between the two by the then British Secretary of State, Claire Short only helped to postpone the same scheme. Therefore, as to whether or not Kigali will fall into the trap, your guess is as good as mine.

Watch the space.

INFORMATION IS POWER AND THE PROBLEM OF UGANDA IS MUSEVENISM

—— AUTO – GENERATED; Published (Halifax Canada Time AST) on: January 03, 2020 at 01:29PM

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